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Friday, 24 August 2012

4 biggest bubbles in the last 40 years

Bottom-up investors can skip this post. You wouldn't be interested.

This post is more for macro top-down (that's how I check girls out too!) speculators like me.

The below chart is interesting!


Iron ore? It's one of the key ingredient for steel making in case you never studied Chemistry or Physical Science.

But unlike copper or crude oil (other more commonly used economic activity indicators), there's no paper futures market for speculators (leveraged hedge funds, investment bank's trading desks, etc) to "manipulate" the prices.

You take away from this chart whatever you like. Being prepared and having a plan may help during these whipsaw markets...

I don't know about you, but I am one confused speculator!

Good news is good news. Bad news is also good news!? Huh? (QE expectations?)

That's why I love this chart that I've found!!!

Now my mind is clear despite all the "manipulations" by Central Banks.

I am at peace.



  1. Black Swans are fer real dude! :-)

    - Ronian
    PS: I've left the blogosphere. Need to focus on my full-time work which is getting busy. I'll send you an email.

    1. Thank you Ronian!

      One benefit of blogging is getting to "meet" interesting people from all walks of life.

      Never in my wildest dreams would I imagine I would meet and exchange comments with a published scientist :)

      Power to you my friend!


    2. Thanks Jared :-) I'm just a guy who hasn't stopped looking for answers. Seems like you're doing the same. That makes us all scientists!

      Aloha, and see ya around!

      - Ronian

  2. Replies
    1. coconut,

      Sky dark dark, I better go home and bring in the laundry ;)

    2. ya, my place raining also, so what your point???

      market crashing just by looking at these charts? market already crash in 2009 what, even in a depression sinario, market can still go up you know!

    3. You got answer already still ask me?

      We see what we want to see ;)

      I never say market go up or down; I only say I at peace.


    4. ya hor haha!

      i went lunch this afternoon and saw my friend walking out of the resturant looking satisfied,

      "taken your lunch?"


      "hows the food?"

      "knn, know the answer still ask!"


  3. Hi Jared

    Isn't life also a cycle? We are born, we live and then we die.

    I just hope to survive the cycles and see my daughter grow up into an independent grounded adult :-)

    Be well and prosper.

    1. Panzer,

      Yes, life is a cycle with it's ups and downs.

      I prefer the analogy of the 4 seasons cycle :)

      Each has its own place and purpose.

      Funny thing is that I love to cool of autumn and the cold of winter; but my Scandinavian colleagues love the warmth of summer!?

      Just as long we have stock up our food store for winter, we will be fine ;)


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