Friday, 10 December 2021

The Paradox Of Success

 

Have you noticed for every "wise" saying, there's always another contradictory "wise" saying to counteract it?


Let's use 2 examples from our 5,000 years of Chinese wisdom:


人定胜天 - I decide my own destiny!


天时, 地利, 人和 - I just got lucky!



When we are climbing UP the mountain to seek success, we can't believe in luck, destiny, and all things that suggest its pure coincidence, can we?


I mean why bother if whatever we do, its just like buying Toto? All randomness?


That's why most Chinese parents put so much emphasis on study hard and work hard! Get into brand name schools, win scholarships that sort of thing.

Its the legacy of the old Chinese Imperial Exams system that's so embedded into our collective DNA...

Its gives us "comfort" to know we can "control" our own destiny.


But in reality, we know that's not completely true... 

Some no study or got lousy grades can also become filthy rich!?

Some got multiple degrees, magna cum laude this, summa cum laude that, also like that lor after leaving school...


You can Trust but Verify at class reunions. 



What's the paradox then?


Its when we have climbed to the summit of the mountain and achieved whatever that is we call "success", the WISER ones will sing another tune.


Its self interest. Especially when we want to be liked or be happier.


These successful people will start to downplay their own efforts - those blood, sweat, and tears shed during the climb up - and put more emphasis on luck, the help others have given them along the way, grace from heaven that sort of thing...


Why?


Have you been in the company of those who are successful but feel very entitled to their success? 

Not pleasant is it? They are so full of it!

They are the ones who believed, "If you fail to plan, you plan to fail..."

Its another way of saying, "If you born poor its not your mistake, but if you die poor it's your mistake!" 


Would those humble successful people you've praised a lot, and enjoyed their company with treat you like that?


Where does humbleness come from?


It only comes when we are grateful.


How can we be grateful when we think success it all due to us and us alone?


I think this is where the humble atheist and the grateful believer have a lot in common. Wink.







Tuesday, 7 December 2021

Most Effective Hedge Against Inflation

 


Earn More.




No. I'm not kidding!


Let's start at the country level. Throughout our human history, there were many bouts of high inflation. Yet humanity still survived. 

Of course there were countries that suffered and fell into oblivion, then there were countries that thrived.

If you not a fan of history, but you love travelling, next time you visit those countries that have lots of zeros on their dollar bills, try asking the tour guide or locals how they, or their parents/grand parents, survived through it.

Who "prospered" from high inflation, and who got "clobbered"...  I'll bet that will be more illuminating than reading "theories" and "opinions"!

Especially youths who have not experienced inflation of the 70s. 

Wait. I so stupid! Just ask your parents or grandparents also can! Travel not needed.


If a country can export and earn more revenues than the what they have to pay in imports, does inflation matters?

Just look at oil producing countries. If they can raise oil prices in an inflationary environment, would they be complaining?



At the corporations level, you know you may have to update your resume when the company you working for is practicing austerity in an inflationary environment...

That meant the company can't raise prices despite higher input costs. It has no pricing power.

But if you working for Apple or Microsoft, customers may complain about higher prices, but they still will buy as that's the power of having fan boys and girls as your customer base. For Microsoft's "captive customer" base , unless you are a techie who can switch to Linux, switching to Apple is "lagi" more expensive!

And that's the same for boring and defensive companies like utilities, telecoms, and public transport... Unless big daddy is willing to subsidise us by "stealing" from our grandchildren, what can we do as consumers facing higher prices?

Utilities and telecoms no way out. At best we use less; practice Save More. Only public transport we can do something about it. Walk or cycle to work anyone? We can "spin" it as being environment friendly!!!

"Look ma! No carbon footprint!"



Now comes to the individual level. Inflation sucks for those who are on a FIXED income. And those whose pay raises are lower than the inflation rate.

But if you are a high performer, you are not phased by it. Not when you are getting double digit pay increments annually like 10% or more... And 40-50% promotional pay increases every 2-3 years!

True or not?

That's where most of us in this community comes in. Why do we invest or trade? 

Because our day job sucks lah! Or we suck at our day job; don't hit the face!


No choice. The Save More route is out for us; that's for the high income earners. 

Hence Earn More it is!


Talking about Earn More, I would like to give a shout out to Kevin of Turtle Investor:

Alternative Income  (I like this post as few commercial bloggers are so transparent. Read the part about active efforts on his part)


There! If our alternative incomes are more than our regular day job, whose afraid of a little inflation?



Ah! How to Earn More if you want minimum effort with maximum reward? And you not really into craftmanship that sort of thing?


Buy Toto?  


I must write to Singapore Pools for affiliate marketing commissions! I am plugging Toto so often, at the very least, buy me a drink!









Friday, 3 December 2021

Bad Decisions

 





If we can't laugh at ourselves from time to time, it simply means you are trying too hard...






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