Yup, I've moved back to Big Daddy's electricity provider this month.
To recap and have a better sense of context, you may want to read my previous 18 Oct 2021 post:
SP Wholesale versus Electricity Retailers
I've been "lucky" for the past 2 years - paying a mere $0.168/kWh - despite the rising quarterly Electricity Tariffs...
But that 2-year honeymoon ended this month.
My current electricity provider tried to "entice" me to renew the contract for another minimum 18 months with an extra "discount" for repeat customers.
Good try.
I don't sweat the small stuffs like downloading apps to enjoy extra discounts for Kopitiam or points for free burgers at McDonalds...
But for my monthly electricity plans? I bothered to do some quick research. Wink.
For historical electricity tariff prices, click the excel file from SP Group below:
Those of you who see better with pictures may want to convert the data into charts yourself. (What? I don't spoon-feed one OK?)
What do you see?
Locking prices for the next 18 months at current electricity prices is like buying near a market top...
I just can't bring myself to do it. (Occupational hazard of a trader)
But why return to SP Group?
That's because no independent electricity retailers are now offering variable plans!!!???
Remember when we can choose independent electricity retailers for the first time?
We were offered "fixed" and "variable" plans right?
I'll let you figure out why no independent retailers are offering "variable" plans to us anymore...
Well, no worries!
Hello SP Group, I'm back!
Of course I can be wrong!
I'll have eggs on my face if next quarter's electricity tariff goes up...
But if you are a Trend Follower like me (Lower electricity bills from April to June as tariff falls by 5.4%), then not locking-in our monthly electricity is the way to benefit from future lower deflationary electricity prices.
P.S. Since I'm not Buy-and-Hold but a Man-Whore Market Timer, once electricity prices have dropped to the low 20s (break below 20 even better), I'll start flirting with the independent retailers again.
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/higher-electricity-bills-from-july-to-september-as-tariff-increases-by-12
ReplyDeleteSomeone will have eggs 🥚 on his face... Haha. 😆
Desmond,
DeleteYup, got splattered with an egg on my face!
LOL!
Lucky the egg is +1.2% sized big!!!
Phew.
Got 18 months of runway for my "market timing" hedging.
Still better off than locking-in at >$30 fixed prices anytime from Jul 22 last year till Mar 23.
Glass half-full or half-empty, I'll know and update here 18 months later ;)
Time will tell whether your decision is a right one.
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